Monday, January 16, 2017

Who shall bell the Cat this elections? #GoaElections

Less than 20 days to the elections in Goa, the picture isn't clear yet, in which direction will the people's verdict be going this time. With alliance talks, import-exports still taking place, the equation is rendered too complex with the many many variables and the numerous constraints.

So does that mean that NOTA is the best option? That's a debatable option as voting NOTA is as good as not voting. (May be in the future The Election Commission may think of implementing it seriously).

Election Commission needs to be commended for their decision to make this election banner-free, clutter-free, noise-free, and forcing the candidates and parties to in-person campaigning. Seriously it doesn't feel that the elections are just two week away. So calm the Goan roads are.

Frankly speaking the Goan Voter today is completely clueless of the political equation that has become highly volatile  every passing day. Even after the nominations are frozen, the likelihood of the equation stabilizing can't be guaranteed. So what does the voter do? Vote for the candidate/party that he was traditionally loyal to, or give a new face a chance or choose the lesser of the evil or choose not to vote at all?

Personally, I haven't made up my mind as I have reservations and apprehension about the intent of the players in the ring. Some of  them, I fundamentally do not agree to their ideologies and vision and some I am not clear what their ideologies and vision are. So at this point my best bet is NOTA. (Let me remind you it's Secret Ballot, so you may never know who I will vote eventually)

But what I am looking for this election is NOT which party will win how many seats, or which candidate will win in the 40 constituencies. I will be more interested and excited to watch the results on 11th March  is where the vote share swayed. The benchmark obviously be the 2012 Elections and 2014 Elections (though 2014 voteshare will reflect BJP-MGP-Independents combine)

2014 Election Voteshare
BJP 53%
INC 37%

2012 Election Vote-Share
BJP:  35%
INC : 31%
MGP : 7%
NCP : 4%
TMC : 2%
UGDP : 1 %
Goa Vikas Party : 4 %
Independents : 17%

It will be fun to watch to see how the battlefield responds to the complex political equation on 4th of Feb. Unfortunately we will have to wait for over a month to know the result, post the Election day.

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